Aveley vs Chesham United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aveley v Chesham United — Team-Based Signals
Aveley vs Chesham United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
Chesham United
FAK
Aveley 1-1 Chesham United — Actual Match Statistics
Aveley and Chesham United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Chesham United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
On the day, Aveley had 44% of the ball to Chesham United's 56%, shots finished 13-11.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chesham United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aveley and 3.00 for Chesham United.
What was the final score of Aveley vs Chesham United?
Aveley 1-1 Chesham United in the England - Conference on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aveley vs Chesham United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Chesham United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Aveley 25%, draw 32%, Chesham United 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chesham United), BTTS No went the other way.