Weymouth 2-3 Dorking Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.04
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
52%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.19
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 33% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
29%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
22%
-2.9pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.6pp
52%
Away Win
54%
-2.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.4pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weymouth EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 58%
-5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.07/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/1.46
-9% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -33%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weymouth
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
07.09.2024 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 1-2 HT 0-0 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
25.07.2020 Weymouth Weymouth 3-2 HT 2-0 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
25.01.2020 Weymouth Weymouth 2-1 HT 1-1 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
07.12.2019 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Weymouth
2-3
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Weymouth vs Dorking Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorking Wanderers squeezed past Weymouth 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dorking Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Weymouth had 44% of the ball to Dorking Wanderers's 56%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Weymouth had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Weymouth and 1.25 for Dorking Wanderers.

What was the final score of Weymouth vs Dorking Wanderers?

Weymouth 2-3 Dorking Wanderers in the England - Conference on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weymouth vs Dorking Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Weymouth 19%, draw 30%, Dorking Wanderers 52%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
11 Jan 2025
18:00 Rushall Olympic vs Scunthorpe United Analysis →
18:00 Buxton vs Chester Analysis →
18:00 Tonbridge Angels vs Chippenham Town Analysis →
18:00 Weston-super-Mare vs St. Albans City Analysis →
18:00 Aveley vs Chesham United Analysis →
18:00 Maidstone United vs Enfield Town Analysis →