Empoli 1-3 Lecce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 11 Jan 2025

Empoli
1 - 3 HT 0 - 2
Lecce
📅11/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Empoli vs Lecce Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.59
Over
39%
2.16
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.05
No
53%
1.69
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.39
2-3
48%
1.74
4-5
16%
4.68
6+
3%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.81
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.95
X/1
18%
4.33
X/2
9%
7.76
X/X
22%
3.81
2/1
2%
31.0
2/2
11%
6.45
2/X
5%
14.7
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Empoli v Lecce — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Empoli The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecce The Market 27%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.60 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.90
0.96 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.24
Average Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Great
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 81%
28 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2

Empoli vs Lecce Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Empoli
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Lecce
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.41 xG 1.30
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
302 Passes 283
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.11.2024 Lecce Lecce 1-1 HT 0-1 Empoli Empoli İTA
13.04.2024 Lecce Lecce 1-0 HT 0-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
11.12.2023 Empoli Empoli 1-1 HT 0-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
03.04.2023 Empoli Empoli 1-0 HT 0-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
28.08.2022 Lecce Lecce 1-1 HT 1-1 Empoli Empoli İTA
10.05.2021 Empoli Empoli 2-1 HT 0-1 Lecce Lecce İTB

Empoli 1-3 Lecce — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Empoli
1 - 3
AWAY Lecce
1.43 xG 1.46
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
251 Passes 283
67% Pass Accuracy 70%
37 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Empoli vs Lecce
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lecce took care of Empoli 3-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Empoli at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, possession split 50% to 50% in Empoli's favour, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.43 to 1.46.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Empoli had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Empoli against 0.83 for Lecce.

Empoli vs Lecce Result & Final Score

Empoli 1 - 3 Lecce in the Italy - Serie A on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Empoli vs Lecce Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Empoli win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Empoli 46%, draw 32%, Lecce 21%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Empoli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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