Milan 1-1 Cagliari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 11 Jan 2025

Milan
1 - 1 HT 0 - 0
Cagliari
📅11/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Milan vs Cagliari Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
73%
1.37
Draw
16%
4.62
Away
11%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.33
Over
62%
1.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.69
2-3
42%
1.9
4-5
29%
2.72
6+
11%
7.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
50%
1.62
1/2
1%
34.5
1/X
4%
20.0
X/1
20%
3.62
X/2
4%
16.35
X/X
9%
7.48
2/1
3%
21.45
2/2
6%
12.3
2/X
3%
20.35
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Milan v Cagliari — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Milan The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Cagliari The Market 16%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.30 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.79
0.83 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.12
Average Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Average
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
392 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 80%
31 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2

Milan vs Cagliari Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milan
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Cagliari
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.58 xG 1.12
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
493 Passes 286
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.11.2024 Cagliari Cagliari 3-3 HT 1-2 Milan Milan İTA
11.05.2024 Milan Milan 5-1 HT 1-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
02.01.2024 Milan Milan 4-1 HT 2-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTK
27.09.2023 Cagliari Cagliari 1-3 HT 1-2 Milan Milan İTA
19.03.2022 Cagliari Cagliari 0-1 HT 0-0 Milan Milan İTA
29.08.2021 Milan Milan 4-1 HT 4-1 Cagliari Cagliari İTA

Milan 1-1 Cagliari — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milan
1 - 1
AWAY Cagliari
2.75 xG 0.43
68% Ball Possession 32%
24 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
476 Passes 183
89% Pass Accuracy 72%
46 Box Touches 9
35 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Milan vs Cagliari
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Milan and Cagliari couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Milan at 73% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, possession split 68% to 32% in Milan's favour, shots finished 24-6, expected goals 2.75 to 0.43.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milan had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 3.33 a game for Milan against 1.17 for Cagliari.

Milan vs Cagliari Result & Final Score

Milan 1 - 1 Cagliari in the Italy - Serie A on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Milan vs Cagliari Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Milan 73%, draw 16%, Cagliari 11%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Milan), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Milan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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