Sassuolo (K) 3-1 Lazio (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
14%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.5pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Lazio (K) EU Bookmakers 36%
-64% / -64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-29% / -63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lazio (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.78 xG 2.91
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 10
153 Passes 251
60% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 40
9 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 3
06.10.2024 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) 3-2 HT 0-1 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo (K)
3-1
AWAY Lazio (K)
0.75 xG 1.10
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
243 Passes 312
69% Pass Accuracy 70%
15 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sassuolo (K) vs Lazio (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo (K) got the better of Lazio (K) 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sassuolo (K) as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sassuolo (K) had 44% of the ball to Lazio (K)'s 56%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 0.75 to 1.10.

What was the final score of Sassuolo (K) vs Lazio (K)?

Sassuolo (K) 3-1 Lazio (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo (K) vs Lazio (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassuolo (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo (K) 41%, draw 26%, Lazio (K) 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sassuolo (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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