Canberra United (K) 2-1 Western United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 11 Jan 2025

Canberra United (K)
2-1 HT 1-1
Western United (K)
📅11/01/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Canberra United (K) vs Western United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.18
Over 2.5
61%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
38%
-5.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+3.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
42%
-2.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
58%
+2.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.5pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Canberra United (K) v Western United (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Western United (K) EU Bookmakers 42%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.45/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/1.94
-7% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 81%
13.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.7
14.1 Crosses 25.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Canberra United (K) vs Western United (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Canberra United (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Western United (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.38 xG 4.62
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 6
277 Passes 299
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
7 Box Touches 33
11 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
01.03.2024 Western United (K) Western United (K) 4-2 HT 3-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW

Canberra United (K) 2-1 Western United (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Canberra United (K)
2-1
AWAY Western United (K)
0.58 xG 1.28
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
276 Passes 265
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Canberra United (K) vs Western United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canberra United (K) squeezed past Western United (K) 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Western United (K) at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Canberra United (K) had 50% of the ball to Western United (K)'s 50%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 0.58 to 1.28 — on chances, Western United (K) could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Canberra United (K) vs Western United (K)?

Canberra United (K) 2-1 Western United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canberra United (K) vs Western United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Western United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Canberra United (K) 32%, draw 26%, Western United (K) 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Western United (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Western United (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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