Perth Glory 1-0 Auckland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 11 Jan 2025

Perth Glory
1-0 HT 1-0
Auckland
📅11/01/2025 · 🕒13:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2024/2025

Perth Glory vs Auckland Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.34
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
57%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.15
Over 2.5
46%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.03
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
2.95
6+ Goals
10%
9.11
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.03 — our 27% vs market 19.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
10.3
1/2
8%
22.1
1/X
10%
18.4
X/1
6%
13.3
X/2
26%
3.7
X/X
10%
6.38
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
23%
1.8
2/X
5%
17.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
16%
+3.2pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.1pp
57%
Away Win
64%
-7.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
43%
+11.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
57%
-11.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Perth Glory v Auckland — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth Glory EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Auckland EU Bookmakers 69%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-18% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
229 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 81%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.1 Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards –

Perth Glory 1-0 Auckland — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perth Glory
1-0
AWAY Auckland
0.95 xG 1.94
35% Ball Possession 65%
13 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
195 Passes 409
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Perth Glory vs Auckland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perth Glory edged past Auckland 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Auckland carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Perth Glory had 35% of the ball to Auckland's 65%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 0.95 to 1.94 — on chances, Auckland could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Perth Glory vs Auckland?

Perth Glory 1-0 Auckland in the Australia - A-League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth Glory vs Auckland?

Before kick-off our model rated an Auckland win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory 19%, draw 25%, Auckland 57%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Auckland) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Auckland) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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