Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Wellington Phoenix v Adelaide United — Team-Based Signals
Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Wellington Phoenix 1-2 Adelaide United — Actual Match Statistics
Adelaide United shaded a tight game against Wellington Phoenix 2-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Adelaide United as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) came home.
Under the surface, Wellington Phoenix had 50% of the ball to Adelaide United's 50%, shots finished 8-20, expected goals 0.45 to 1.55.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Wellington Phoenix and 2.17 for Adelaide United.
Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United Result & Final Score
Wellington Phoenix 1 - 2 Adelaide United in the Australia - A-League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Adelaide United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix 23%, draw 24%, Adelaide United 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adelaide United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.