Bastia 4-0 Ajaccio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 11 Jan 2025

Bastia
4 - 0 HT 3 - 0
Ajaccio
📅11/01/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Bastia vs Ajaccio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.65
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
16%
4.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
1.52
Over
35%
2.35
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.43
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2.09
2-3
46%
1.77
4-5
14%
5.64
6+
2%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
2.3
1/2
1%
34.5
1/X
5%
18.1
X/1
20%
3.55
X/2
7%
10.15
X/X
18%
3.88
2/1
2%
33.0
2/2
8%
9.67
2/X
4%
19.35
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome. ★ This match carries Gold/Silver/Bronze value markets — free account to see them.

Bastia v Ajaccio — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Bastia The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajaccio The Market 20%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.47 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.51
0.91 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.55
Average Attack Strength Bad
Average Defense Strength Weak
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2

Bastia vs Ajaccio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bastia
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ajaccio
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.54 xG 0.81
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
243 Passes 335
68% Pass Accuracy 75%
5 Box Touches 18
6 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.02.2024 Bastia Bastia 1-0 HT 0-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
02.10.2023 Ajaccio Ajaccio 2-0 HT 0-0 Bastia Bastia FR2
12.03.2022 Ajaccio Ajaccio 0-1 HT 0-1 Bastia Bastia FR2
25.09.2021 Bastia Bastia 2-0 HT 0-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
20.04.2014 Bastia Bastia 2-1 HT 1-1 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR1
04.12.2013 Ajaccio Ajaccio 1-1 HT 0-1 Bastia Bastia FR1

Bastia 4-0 Ajaccio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bastia
4 - 0
AWAY Ajaccio
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
REVIEW Bastia vs Ajaccio
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Bastia swept aside Ajaccio 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bastia as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals card split: no to both teams scoring (60%) came in, under 2.5 goals (65%) didn't.

Under the surface, Bastia had 59% of the ball to Ajaccio's 41%, shots finished 13-7.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bastia had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bastia and 0.67 for Ajaccio.

Bastia vs Ajaccio Result & Final Score

Bastia 4 - 0 Ajaccio in the France - Ligue 2 on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Bastia vs Ajaccio Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Bastia win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Bastia 57%, draw 27%, Ajaccio 16%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bastia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bastia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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