Caen 0-1 Grenoble — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 11 Jan 2025

Caen
0 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Grenoble
📅11/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
25%
3.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.82
Over
47%
1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.94
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.99
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
21%
3.67
6+
5%
15.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.87
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
17%
4.6
X/2
10%
7.16
X/X
17%
4.47
2/1
3%
26.5
2/2
13%
5.37
2/X
5%
13.9
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Caen The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Grenoble The Market 31%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.66 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.04
1.08 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.44
Average Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Strong
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caen
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Grenoble
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.06 xG 1.21
57% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
444 Passes 321
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2024 Grenoble Grenoble 3-1 HT 2-1 Caen Caen FR2
03.02.2024 Grenoble Grenoble 5-1 HT 2-0 Caen Caen FR2
26.09.2023 Caen Caen 1-2 HT 1-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
18.02.2023 Caen Caen 2-1 HT 0-1 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
17.09.2022 Grenoble Grenoble 1-0 HT 0-0 Caen Caen FR2
09.04.2022 Grenoble Grenoble 0-2 HT 0-0 Caen Caen FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caen
0 - 1
AWAY Grenoble
0.43 xG 4.26
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 11
8 Corners 7
453 Passes 362
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 28
32 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Caen vs Grenoble
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Grenoble nicked a narrow win over Caen 1-0 on the road.

Our pre-match lean was Caen at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 47% and both teams to score at 53%.

On the day, Caen had 55% of the ball to Grenoble's 45%, shots finished 7-22, expected goals 0.43 to 4.26 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Grenoble's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grenoble led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Caen and 2.00 for Grenoble.

Caen vs Grenoble Result & Final Score

Caen 0 - 1 Grenoble in the France - Ligue 2 on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Caen vs Grenoble Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Caen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Caen 47%, draw 28%, Grenoble 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Caen), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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