Llantwit Major 0-2 Carmarthen Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
26%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
26%
Away Win
32%
-6.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 36%
+19% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.70/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.61
-8% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
324 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llantwit Major
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Carmarthen Town
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
25.10.2024 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Llantwit Major GALFAW
29.07.2023 Llantwit Major 1-2 HT 1-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
25.02.2023 Llantwit Major 0-0 HT 0-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
02.08.2022 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 4-1 HT 2-0 Llantwit Major GALFAW
05.03.2022 Llantwit Major 1-0 HT 1-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Llantwit Major vs Carmarthen Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carmarthen Town saw off Llantwit Major 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Llantwit Major at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Llantwit Major and 1.20 for Carmarthen Town.

What was the final score of Llantwit Major vs Carmarthen Town?

Llantwit Major 0-2 Carmarthen Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llantwit Major vs Carmarthen Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llantwit Major win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Llantwit Major 46%, draw 28%, Carmarthen Town 26%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Llantwit Major) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Llantwit Major) ✓ Under 2.5
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