Carmarthen Town 0-1 Llantwit Major — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.0pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.9pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 34%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.86/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.71
-4% / +110% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
299 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carmarthen Town
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Llantwit Major
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
29.07.2023 Llantwit Major 1-2 HT 1-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
25.02.2023 Llantwit Major 0-0 HT 0-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
02.08.2022 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 4-1 HT 2-0 Llantwit Major GALFAW
05.03.2022 Llantwit Major 1-0 HT 1-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Carmarthen Town vs Llantwit Major
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llantwit Major squeezed past Carmarthen Town 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Carmarthen Town at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Carmarthen Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Carmarthen Town and 0.75 for Llantwit Major.

What was the final score of Carmarthen Town vs Llantwit Major?

Carmarthen Town 0-1 Llantwit Major in the Wales - FAW Championship on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carmarthen Town vs Llantwit Major?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carmarthen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Carmarthen Town 42%, draw 22%, Llantwit Major 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Carmarthen Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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