Airbus UK 8-3 Holywell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
16%
3.8
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.59
Over 2.5
62%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
5%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.0pp
16%
Draw
23%
-6.4pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
35%
+2.8pp
62%
Over 2.5
65%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.3pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Airbus UK EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Holywell EU Bookmakers 28%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.11/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.39
+3% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +42%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Airbus UK
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Holywell
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
4 Corners 3
16.12.2023 Holywell Holywell 1-2 HT 1-2 Airbus UK Airbus UK GALFAW
04.11.2023 Airbus UK Airbus UK 1-1 HT 0-1 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
18.04.2022 Holywell Holywell 3-2 HT 1-1 Airbus UK Airbus UK GALFAW
POST-MATCH Airbus UK vs Holywell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Airbus UK swept aside Holywell 8-3. Half-time: 4-1. 11 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Airbus UK as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 8-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Airbus UK and 1.67 for Holywell.

What was the final score of Airbus UK vs Holywell?

Airbus UK 8-3 Holywell in the Wales - FAW Championship on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Airbus UK vs Holywell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Airbus UK win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Airbus UK 51%, draw 16%, Holywell 33%. The final score 8-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Airbus UK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Airbus UK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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