Newport City 1-3 Penrhiwceiber Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.51
Over 2.5
47%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.7
No
56%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.3pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.4pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
36%
+17.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
64%
-17.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
55%
-10.4pp
56%
BTTS No
45%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newport City EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Penrhiwceiber Rangers EU Bookmakers 17%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.97
-56% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
427 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newport City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Penrhiwceiber Rangers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.08.2024 Penrhiwceiber Rangers 1-2 HT 0-0 Newport City Newport City GALFAW
POST-MATCH Newport City vs Penrhiwceiber Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penrhiwceiber Rangers saw off Newport City 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Newport City at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Newport City vs Penrhiwceiber Rangers?

Newport City 1-3 Penrhiwceiber Rangers in the Wales - FAW Championship on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newport City vs Penrhiwceiber Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newport City win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Newport City 55%, draw 22%, Penrhiwceiber Rangers 23%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Newport City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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