Bengaluru 0-1 Mohammedan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.54
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.54 — our 28% vs market 21.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-10.2pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.9pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bengaluru EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Mohammedan EU Bookmakers 21%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.33/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.49
-7% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
19.2 Crosses 18.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bengaluru
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Mohammedan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.64 xG 0.78
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
336 Passes 162
79% Pass Accuracy 63%
32 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 5
27.11.2024 Mohammedan Mohammedan 1-2 HT 1-0 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bengaluru
0-1
AWAY Mohammedan
1.86 xG 1.23
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
360 Passes 163
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 9
26 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bengaluru vs Mohammedan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mohammedan squeezed past Bengaluru 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bengaluru at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bengaluru had 66% of the ball to Mohammedan's 34%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.86 to 1.23 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bengaluru.

What was the final score of Bengaluru vs Mohammedan?

Bengaluru 0-1 Mohammedan in the India - Super League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bengaluru vs Mohammedan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bengaluru win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Bengaluru 49%, draw 30%, Mohammedan 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bengaluru) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bengaluru) ✓ Under 2.5
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HİNSL More India - Super League
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