Al Gharafa 3-1 Al Khor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 11 Jan 2025

Al Gharafa
3 - 1 HT 2 - 0
Al Khor
📅11/01/2025 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
68%
1.46
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
13%
5.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
33%
2.44
Over
67%
1.49
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.59
No
41%
2.21
Total Goals
0-1
15%
5.51
2-3
42%
1.98
4-5
32%
2.49
6+
11%
5.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Al Gharafa The Market 68%
Signal
AWAY Al Khor The Market 19%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.36 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.92
0.92 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.22
Average Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Average
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
393 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 76%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12
18 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Gharafa
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Khor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.58 xG 1.21
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
449 Passes 211
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 14
35 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2024 Al Khor Al Khor 3-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KATYK
09.08.2024 Al Khor Al Khor 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
10.02.2022 Al Khor Al Khor 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
13.12.2021 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 4-1 HT 1-0 Al Khor Al Khor KATYK
15.11.2021 Al Khor Al Khor 4-2 HT 2-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KATYK
26.10.2021 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 5-0 HT 4-0 Al Khor Al Khor KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Gharafa
3 - 1
AWAY Al Khor
3.01 xG 0.84
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
384 Passes 253
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
38 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Al Gharafa vs Al Khor
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Al Gharafa took care of Al Khor 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Al Gharafa as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, possession split 59% to 41% in Al Gharafa's favour, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 3.01 to 0.84.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Al Gharafa against 1.50 for Al Khor.

Al Gharafa vs Al Khor Result & Final Score

Al Gharafa 3 - 1 Al Khor in the Qatar League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Al Gharafa vs Al Khor Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Gharafa win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Al Gharafa 68%, draw 19%, Al Khor 13%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Gharafa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Gharafa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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