Posta Rangers 2-1 Nairobi City Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
22%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.3pp
21%
Draw
27%
-5.6pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+6.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.6pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Posta Rangers EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Nairobi City Stars EU Bookmakers 32%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.86
+93% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
251 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Posta Rangers
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Nairobi City Stars
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
09.03.2022 Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars 1-2 Posta Rangers Posta Rangers KEN2
30.10.2021 Posta Rangers Posta Rangers 1-1 HT 1-0 Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Posta Rangers
2-1
AWAY Nairobi City Stars
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Posta Rangers vs Nairobi City Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Posta Rangers edged past Nairobi City Stars 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Posta Rangers as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Posta Rangers had 51% of the ball to Nairobi City Stars's 49%, shots finished 9-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Posta Rangers had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Posta Rangers and 1.00 for Nairobi City Stars.

What was the final score of Posta Rangers vs Nairobi City Stars?

Posta Rangers 2-1 Nairobi City Stars in the Kenya - Premier League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Posta Rangers vs Nairobi City Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Posta Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Posta Rangers 44%, draw 21%, Nairobi City Stars 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Posta Rangers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Posta Rangers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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