Talanta 0-1 Homeboyz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
49%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
14%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.1pp
24%
Draw
30%
-6.2pp
49%
Away Win
42%
+6.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Talanta EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Homeboyz EU Bookmakers 46%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.68/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-32% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -3%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Talanta
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Homeboyz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
04.01.2022 Homeboyz Homeboyz 0-1 HT 0-1 Talanta KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Talanta
0-1
AWAY Homeboyz
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Talanta vs Homeboyz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Homeboyz nicked a narrow win over Talanta 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Homeboyz as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Talanta had 38% of the ball to Homeboyz's 62%, shots finished 6-18.

What was the final score of Talanta vs Homeboyz?

Talanta 0-1 Homeboyz in the Kenya - Premier League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Talanta vs Homeboyz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Homeboyz win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Talanta 27%, draw 24%, Homeboyz 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Homeboyz), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Homeboyz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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