Shabana vs Tusker Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Shabana v Tusker — Team-Based Signals
Shabana 2-1 Tusker — Actual Match Statistics
Shabana edged past Tusker 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Shabana as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Shabana had 54% of the ball to Tusker's 46%, shots finished 10-10.
What was the final score of Shabana vs Tusker?
Shabana 2-1 Tusker in the Kenya - Premier League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Shabana vs Tusker?
Before kick-off our model rated a Shabana win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shabana 41%, draw 31%, Tusker 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shabana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.