Beşiktaş 2-1 Bodrum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.67
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.12
6+ Goals
12%
10.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.12 — our 28% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.0
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
9%
16.45
X/1
22%
3.81
X/2
10%
10.9
X/X
11%
5.84
2/1
7%
22.1
2/2
11%
8.42
2/X
5%
17.1
Value flag · 1/X at 16.45 — our 9% vs market 3.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-10.8pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.7pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.7pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.86/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.42
-7% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +0%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
22.3 Crosses 13.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beşiktaş
2-1
AWAY Bodrum FK
1.65 xG 2.05
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 12
368 Passes 319
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 42
10 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Beşiktaş vs Bodrum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beşiktaş squeezed past Bodrum FK 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Beşiktaş as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Beşiktaş had 52% of the ball to Bodrum FK's 48%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 1.65 to 2.05.

What was the final score of Beşiktaş vs Bodrum FK?

Beşiktaş 2-1 Bodrum FK in the Turkey - Super League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beşiktaş vs Bodrum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Beşiktaş 49%, draw 25%, Bodrum FK 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beşiktaş), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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