Hatayspor 1-2 Çaykur Rizespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 11 Jan 2025

Hatayspor
1-2 HT 1-1
Çaykur Rizespor
📅11/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Hatayspor vs Çaykur Rizespor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
36%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.18
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.48
6+ Goals
10%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 28% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.37
1/2
7%
25.0
1/X
8%
14.45
X/1
12%
7.19
X/2
16%
4.46
X/X
15%
4.84
2/1
11%
34.5
2/2
13%
2.76
2/X
9%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+4.3pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.1pp
36%
Away Win
46%
-10.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hatayspor v Çaykur Rizespor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 50%
+7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.13/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.15
+9% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +13%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 82%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
18.0 Crosses 19.8
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.1

Hatayspor vs Çaykur Rizespor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hatayspor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.58 xG 0.79
50% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
304 Passes 291
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.05.2024 Hatayspor Hatayspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
06.01.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 2-0 HT 1-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
23.01.2022 Hatayspor Hatayspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
12.09.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-2 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
13.03.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-0 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
22.11.2020 Hatayspor Hatayspor 2-2 HT 1-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL

Hatayspor 1-2 Çaykur Rizespor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hatayspor
1-2
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
0.84 xG 2.21
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
310 Passes 440
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 33
20 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hatayspor vs Çaykur Rizespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çaykur Rizespor squeezed past Hatayspor 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 32% / 36%) promised a tight game; Çaykur Rizespor found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hatayspor had 44% of the ball to Çaykur Rizespor's 56%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 0.84 to 2.21 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Çaykur Rizespor's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hatayspor and 0.83 for Çaykur Rizespor.

What was the final score of Hatayspor vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Hatayspor 1-2 Çaykur Rizespor in the Turkey - Super League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hatayspor vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Çaykur Rizespor win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Hatayspor 32%, draw 32%, Çaykur Rizespor 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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