Levante 1-1 Espanyol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 11 Jan 2026

📅11/01/2026 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.95
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.83
6+ Goals
8%
16.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 31% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.71
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
9%
6.52
X/2
16%
5.21
X/X
12%
4.34
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
20%
3.32
2/X
10%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
31%
-2.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+2.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levante EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Espanyol EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -2%
1.48/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/1.02
+19% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +21%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 81%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
20.3 Crosses 25.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levante
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Espanyol
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.41 xG 1.34
55% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
383 Passes 304
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.02.2024 Espanyol Espanyol 2-1 HT 1-0 Levante Levante İS2
08.09.2023 Levante Levante 1-4 HT 1-2 Espanyol Espanyol İS2
12.03.2022 Levante Levante 1-1 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
11.12.2021 Espanyol Espanyol 4-3 HT 1-2 Levante Levante İS1
20.06.2020 Espanyol Espanyol 1-3 HT 1-1 Levante Levante İS1
27.10.2019 Levante Levante 0-1 HT 0-1 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levante
1-1
AWAY Espanyol
1.11 xG 1.36
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
350 Passes 364
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 29
8 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Levante vs Espanyol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levante and Espanyol couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Espanyol at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Levante had 49% of the ball to Espanyol's 51%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 1.11 to 1.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Espanyol led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Levante and 2.17 for Espanyol.

What was the final score of Levante vs Espanyol?

Levante 1-1 Espanyol in the Spain - Primera Liga on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levante vs Espanyol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Espanyol win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Levante 29%, draw 28%, Espanyol 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Espanyol), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Espanyol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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