Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rayo Vallecano v Mallorca — Team-Based Signals
Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Mallorca
İS1
3-0
HT 0-0
Rayo Vallecano
İS1
0-2
HT 0-1
Mallorca
İS1
Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Mallorca — Actual Match Statistics
Rayo Vallecano squeezed past Mallorca 2-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Rayo Vallecano as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Rayo Vallecano had 53% of the ball to Mallorca's 47%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 2.37 to 0.75 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rayo Vallecano's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mallorca led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rayo Vallecano and 1.67 for Mallorca.
What was the final score of Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca?
Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Mallorca in the Spain - Primera Liga on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Vallecano win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Rayo Vallecano 50%, draw 28%, Mallorca 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayo Vallecano) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.