Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mallorca v Rayo Vallecano — Team-Based Signals
Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Mallorca
İS1
3-0
HT 0-0
Rayo Vallecano
İS1
0-2
HT 0-1
Mallorca
İS1
2-1
HT 1-0
Rayo Vallecano
İS1
1-0
HT 1-0
Mallorca
İSPK
Mallorca 1-0 Rayo Vallecano — Actual Match Statistics
Mallorca nicked a narrow win over Rayo Vallecano 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Mallorca as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.
On the day, Mallorca had 51% of the ball to Rayo Vallecano's 49%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 2.03 to 0.59 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Mallorca's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mallorca had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mallorca and 0.83 for Rayo Vallecano.
What was the final score of Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano?
Mallorca 1-0 Rayo Vallecano in the Spain - Primera Liga on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mallorca win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mallorca 43%, draw 31%, Rayo Vallecano 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mallorca), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.