Villarreal 1-1 Getafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 20 Oct 2024

Villarreal
1-1 HT 1-0
Getafe
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Villarreal vs Getafe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.67
Over 2.5
53%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.99
No
47%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.68
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
4.38
6+ Goals
13%
22.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.38 — our 25% vs market 17.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.46
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.9
X/1
21%
3.95
X/2
10%
8.39
X/X
8%
4.28
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
27.5
2/2
10%
7.02
2/X
8%
15.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 6% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
-0.2pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.6pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+3.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-9.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+9.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.6pp
47%
BTTS No
54%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Villarreal v Getafe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villarreal EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Getafe EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
1.88/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.39
+20% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +13%
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
382 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 68%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
18.0 Crosses 16.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.9

Villarreal vs Getafe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villarreal
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Getafe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.59 xG 0.57
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
412 Passes 258
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.02.2024 Villarreal Villarreal 1-1 HT 0-1 Getafe Getafe İS1
30.09.2023 Getafe Getafe 0-0 HT 0-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
27.02.2023 Villarreal Villarreal 2-1 HT 1-1 Getafe Getafe İS1
28.08.2022 Getafe Getafe 0-0 HT 0-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
16.04.2022 Getafe Getafe 1-2 HT 0-2 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
07.11.2021 Villarreal Villarreal 1-0 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe İS1

Villarreal 1-1 Getafe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villarreal
1-1
AWAY Getafe
0.86 xG 1.94
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
273 Passes 193
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Villarreal vs Getafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villarreal and Getafe shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Villarreal at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Villarreal had 57% of the ball to Getafe's 43%, shots finished 10-21, expected goals 0.86 to 1.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villarreal had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Villarreal and 0.50 for Getafe.

What was the final score of Villarreal vs Getafe?

Villarreal 1-1 Getafe in the Spain - Primera Liga on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villarreal vs Getafe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Villarreal 51%, draw 23%, Getafe 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Villarreal), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Villarreal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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