Barcelona 5-1 Sevilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.32
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.63
Over 2.5
57%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.23
2-3 Goals
39%
2.09
4-5 Goals
26%
2.55
6+ Goals
13%
5.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.51
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
21.25
X/1
23%
3.64
X/2
8%
18.5
X/X
9%
8.75
2/1
7%
20.0
2/2
6%
12.8
2/X
6%
20.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
71%
-12.6pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.1pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
34%
+8.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
66%
-8.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla EU Bookmakers 15%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
2.30/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.67
+20% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
484 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 81%
37.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
18.9 Crosses 17.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Sevilla
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.37 xG 0.78
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
483 Passes 308
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
34 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 Sevilla Sevilla 1-2 HT 1-1 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
29.09.2023 Barcelona Barcelona 1-0 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
05.02.2023 Barcelona Barcelona 3-0 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
03.09.2022 Sevilla Sevilla 0-3 HT 0-2 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
03.04.2022 Barcelona Barcelona 1-0 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
21.12.2021 Sevilla Sevilla 1-1 HT 1-1 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona
5-1
AWAY Sevilla
67% Ball Possession 33%
21 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
558 Passes 235
91% Pass Accuracy 79%
POST-MATCH Barcelona vs Sevilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona ran out comfortable winners over Sevilla 5-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Barcelona as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Barcelona had 67% of the ball to Sevilla's 33%, shots finished 21-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Barcelona and 0.33 for Sevilla.

What was the final score of Barcelona vs Sevilla?

Barcelona 5-1 Sevilla in the Spain - Primera Liga on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona vs Sevilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Barcelona 58%, draw 21%, Sevilla 20%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona) ✓ Over 2.5
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