Sevilla 1-2 Barcelona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 26 May 2024

Sevilla
1-2 HT 1-1
Barcelona
📅26/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Sevilla vs Barcelona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
48%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.33
2-3 Goals
35%
1.99
4-5 Goals
29%
2.68
6+ Goals
13%
6.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+4.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
48%
Away Win
54%
-6.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.3pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sevilla v Barcelona — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sevilla EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona EU Bookmakers 58%
+12% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
0.97/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.05
+5% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -16%
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
283 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 501 · 86%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
20.2 Crosses 14.8
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6

Sevilla vs Barcelona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sevilla
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Barcelona
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.71 xG 2.52
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
305 Passes 522
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 42
12 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.09.2023 Barcelona Barcelona 1-0 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
05.02.2023 Barcelona Barcelona 3-0 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
03.09.2022 Sevilla Sevilla 0-3 HT 0-2 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
03.04.2022 Barcelona Barcelona 1-0 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
21.12.2021 Sevilla Sevilla 1-1 HT 1-1 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
03.03.2021 Barcelona Barcelona 3-0 HT 1-0 Sevilla Sevilla İSPK

Sevilla 1-2 Barcelona — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sevilla
1-2
AWAY Barcelona
1.47 xG 1.35
39% Ball Possession 61%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
355 Passes 595
89% Pass Accuracy 92%
22 Box Touches 31
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sevilla vs Barcelona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona edged past Sevilla 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Barcelona as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sevilla had 39% of the ball to Barcelona's 61%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.47 to 1.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Sevilla and 2.00 for Barcelona.

What was the final score of Sevilla vs Barcelona?

Sevilla 1-2 Barcelona in the Spain - Primera Liga on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sevilla vs Barcelona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barcelona win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sevilla 28%, draw 24%, Barcelona 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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