Celta Vigo 2-2 Valencia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 26 May 2024

Celta Vigo
2-2 HT 0-1
Valencia
📅26/05/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Celta Vigo vs Valencia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.57
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.36
6+ Goals
10%
12.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.3pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Celta Vigo v Valencia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celta Vigo EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Valencia EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.49/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.42
-3% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
20.3 Crosses 16.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7

Celta Vigo vs Valencia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celta Vigo
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Valencia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.95 xG 1.43
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
293 Passes 294
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.01.2024 Valencia Valencia 1-3 HT 1-2 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İSPK
25.11.2023 Valencia Valencia 0-0 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
14.05.2023 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-2 HT 0-1 Valencia Valencia İS1
17.09.2022 Valencia Valencia 3-0 HT 1-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
21.05.2022 Valencia Valencia 2-0 HT 1-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
05.12.2021 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-2 HT 1-1 Valencia Valencia İS1

Celta Vigo 2-2 Valencia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celta Vigo
2-2
AWAY Valencia
1.53 xG 2.13
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
439 Passes 358
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 14
POST-MATCH Celta Vigo vs Valencia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celta Vigo and Valencia couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Celta Vigo at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Celta Vigo had 54% of the ball to Valencia's 46%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.53 to 2.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valencia led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Celta Vigo and 1.67 for Valencia.

What was the final score of Celta Vigo vs Valencia?

Celta Vigo 2-2 Valencia in the Spain - Primera Liga on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celta Vigo vs Valencia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo 49%, draw 26%, Valencia 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celta Vigo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celta Vigo) ✓ BTTS Yes
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