Las Palmas 1-1 Deportivo Alaves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 26 May 2024

Las Palmas
1-1 HT 0-0
Deportivo Alaves
📅26/05/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Las Palmas vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.57
6+ Goals
9%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 33% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-10.1pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Las Palmas v Deportivo Alaves — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Alaves EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.12/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.31
+18% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
376 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 71%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
14.4 Crosses 18.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

Las Palmas vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Palmas
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.52 xG 1.58
66% Ball Possession 34%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
489 Passes 202
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.12.2023 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-1 HT 0-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
27.05.2023 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS2
03.09.2022 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-1 HT 1-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
22.04.2018 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-4 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
08.12.2017 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 2-0 HT 1-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
23.04.2017 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1

Las Palmas 1-1 Deportivo Alaves — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Palmas
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
0.99 xG 2.59
65% Ball Possession 35%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
444 Passes 186
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Las Palmas vs Deportivo Alaves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Las Palmas and Deportivo Alaves couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Las Palmas had 65% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves's 35%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.99 to 2.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Alaves led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Las Palmas and 1.33 for Deportivo Alaves.

What was the final score of Las Palmas vs Deportivo Alaves?

Las Palmas 1-1 Deportivo Alaves in the Spain - Primera Liga on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Palmas vs Deportivo Alaves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Las Palmas win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas 36%, draw 29%, Deportivo Alaves 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Las Palmas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Las Palmas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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