Cartagena 1-4 UD Ibiza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 11 Jan 2026

📅11/01/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.48
Over 2.5
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.09
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
5.54
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.3pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.2pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-9.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+9.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.5pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cartagena EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Ibiza EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +0%
1.14/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.15
-11% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
250 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cartagena
2W-1D-1L
AWAY UD Ibiza
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.63 xG 1.46
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
309 Passes 296
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 1
29.01.2023 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza 2-2 HT 1-2 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
16.10.2022 Cartagena Cartagena 2-0 HT 0-0 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza İS2
12.02.2022 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza 2-1 HT 1-1 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
10.10.2021 Cartagena Cartagena 5-1 HT 3-0 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cartagena
1-4
AWAY UD Ibiza
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 12
8 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cartagena vs UD Ibiza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Ibiza ran out comfortable winners over Cartagena 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Cartagena at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cartagena had 51% of the ball to UD Ibiza's 49%, shots finished 8-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cartagena had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Cartagena and 1.25 for UD Ibiza.

What was the final score of Cartagena vs UD Ibiza?

Cartagena 1-4 UD Ibiza in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cartagena vs UD Ibiza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cartagena win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cartagena 42%, draw 26%, UD Ibiza 32%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cartagena) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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