Celta Vigo II 1-2 Barakaldo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 11 Jan 2026

📅11/01/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.69
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.01
6+ Goals
9%
19.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.5pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.0pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celta Vigo II EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Barakaldo EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +13%
1.63/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.16
+20% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
470 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celta Vigo II
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Barakaldo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2025 Barakaldo Barakaldo 0-1 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
25.08.2024 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II 2-2 HT 2-1 Barakaldo Barakaldo İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celta Vigo II
1-2
AWAY Barakaldo
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Celta Vigo II vs Barakaldo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barakaldo edged past Celta Vigo II 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Celta Vigo II at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Celta Vigo II had 57% of the ball to Barakaldo's 43%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Celta Vigo II had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Celta Vigo II and 1.00 for Barakaldo.

What was the final score of Celta Vigo II vs Barakaldo?

Celta Vigo II 1-2 Barakaldo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celta Vigo II vs Barakaldo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo II 46%, draw 23%, Barakaldo 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celta Vigo II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celta Vigo II) ✓ BTTS Yes
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