Barakaldo 0-1 Celta Vigo II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.65
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.93
6+ Goals
10%
18.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barakaldo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo II EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -25%
1.55/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.16
+12% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
316 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barakaldo
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Celta Vigo II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.08.2024 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II 2-2 HT 2-1 Barakaldo Barakaldo İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barakaldo
0-1
AWAY Celta Vigo II
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Barakaldo vs Celta Vigo II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celta Vigo II squeezed past Barakaldo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Barakaldo at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Barakaldo had 58% of the ball to Celta Vigo II's 42%, shots finished 14-7.

What was the final score of Barakaldo vs Celta Vigo II?

Barakaldo 0-1 Celta Vigo II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barakaldo vs Celta Vigo II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barakaldo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Barakaldo 45%, draw 26%, Celta Vigo II 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Barakaldo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barakaldo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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