Marbella 0-2 Alcoyano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.66
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.2pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.9pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.3pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marbella EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcoyano EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.38/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.11
+9% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marbella
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Alcoyano
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
04.10.2024 Alcoyano Alcoyano 2-1 HT 0-0 Marbella Marbella İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marbella
0-2
AWAY Alcoyano
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Marbella vs Alcoyano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcoyano saw off Marbella 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Alcoyano made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Marbella had 55% of the ball to Alcoyano's 45%, shots finished 14-8.

What was the final score of Marbella vs Alcoyano?

Marbella 0-2 Alcoyano in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marbella vs Alcoyano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marbella win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Marbella 40%, draw 31%, Alcoyano 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Marbella) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marbella) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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