Ourense CF 1-0 Real Sociedad II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.13
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
5.2
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.2pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ourense CF EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad II EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +17%
0.85/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.02
-39% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 18.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ourense CF
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Real Sociedad II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.12.2024 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 2-1 HT 1-0 Ourense CF Ourense CF İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ourense CF
1-0
AWAY Real Sociedad II
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ourense CF vs Real Sociedad II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ourense CF nicked a narrow win over Real Sociedad II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 30%) promised a tight game; Ourense CF found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ourense CF had 44% of the ball to Real Sociedad II's 56%, shots finished 9-9.

What was the final score of Ourense CF vs Real Sociedad II?

Ourense CF 1-0 Real Sociedad II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ourense CF vs Real Sociedad II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ourense CF win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ourense CF 40%, draw 29%, Real Sociedad II 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ourense CF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ourense CF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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