Real Sociedad II 2-1 Ourense CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.4
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.42
6+ Goals
9%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad II EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ourense CF EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.66/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.36/1.63
+13% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.5 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad II
2-1
AWAY Ourense CF
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad II vs Ourense CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad II edged past Ourense CF 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Sociedad II as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Sociedad II had 52% of the ball to Ourense CF's 48%, shots finished 8-9.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad II vs Ourense CF?

Real Sociedad II 2-1 Ourense CF in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad II vs Ourense CF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad II 43%, draw 29%, Ourense CF 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Sociedad II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Sociedad II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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