Alcorcon vs Villarreal II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alcorcon v Villarreal II — Team-Based Signals
Alcorcon vs Villarreal II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-2
Alcorcon
İS2
0-3
HT 0-2
Alcorcon
İS2
1-1
HT 0-0
Villarreal II
İS2
1-4
HT 1-4
Alcorcon
İS2
Alcorcon 2-1 Villarreal II — Actual Match Statistics
Alcorcon squeezed past Villarreal II 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Alcorcon found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Alcorcon had 55% of the ball to Villarreal II's 45%, shots finished 15-5.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alcorcon had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Alcorcon and 1.33 for Villarreal II.
What was the final score of Alcorcon vs Villarreal II?
Alcorcon 2-1 Villarreal II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alcorcon vs Villarreal II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alcorcon win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Alcorcon 40%, draw 27%, Villarreal II 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alcorcon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.