Villarreal II 4-0 Alcorcon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.08
6+ Goals
9%
19.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 33% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.0pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villarreal II EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.65/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.32
+12% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villarreal II
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Alcorcon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.76 xG 0.74
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
401 Passes 198
82% Pass Accuracy 68%
30 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.04.2024 Alcorcon Alcorcon 1-0 HT 0-0 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS2
30.09.2023 Villarreal II Villarreal II 2-2 HT 1-2 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
18.02.2012 Villarreal II Villarreal II 0-3 HT 0-2 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
10.09.2011 Alcorcon Alcorcon 1-1 HT 0-0 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS2
12.05.2011 Villarreal II Villarreal II 1-4 HT 1-4 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
18.12.2010 Alcorcon Alcorcon 1-2 HT 1-1 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villarreal II
4-0
AWAY Alcorcon
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Villarreal II vs Alcorcon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villarreal II ran out comfortable winners over Alcorcon 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Villarreal II as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Villarreal II had 47% of the ball to Alcorcon's 53%, shots finished 17-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alcorcon led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Villarreal II and 2.00 for Alcorcon.

What was the final score of Villarreal II vs Alcorcon?

Villarreal II 4-0 Alcorcon in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villarreal II vs Alcorcon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Villarreal II 47%, draw 25%, Alcorcon 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Villarreal II), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Villarreal II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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