Merida AD 1-0 Osasuna II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 11 Jan 2026

Merida AD
1-0 HT 1-0
Osasuna II
📅11/01/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2025/2026

Merida AD vs Osasuna II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.83
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.82
6+ Goals
9%
17.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+0.9pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Merida AD v Osasuna II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Merida AD EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna II EU Bookmakers 25%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
2.28/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.50
+44% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 18.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Merida AD 1-0 Osasuna II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Merida AD
1-0
AWAY Osasuna II
41% Ball Possession 59%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Merida AD vs Osasuna II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merida AD nicked a narrow win over Osasuna II 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Merida AD as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Merida AD had 41% of the ball to Osasuna II's 59%, shots finished 18-12.

What was the final score of Merida AD vs Osasuna II?

Merida AD 1-0 Osasuna II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Merida AD vs Osasuna II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Merida AD win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Merida AD 54%, draw 23%, Osasuna II 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Merida AD) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Merida AD) ✗ BTTS Yes
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