Arema Malang 2-1 Persik Kediri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 11 Jan 2026

📅11/01/2026 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
19%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arema Malang EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Persik Kediri EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -11%
1.48/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.23
+9% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
276 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arema Malang
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Persik Kediri
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
244 Passes 225
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2025 Arema Malang Arema Malang 0-3 HT 0-1 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
16.12.2024 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 1-0 HT 0-0 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
27.11.2023 Arema Malang Arema Malang 0-1 HT 0-0 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
17.09.2022 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 0-1 HT 0-0 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
27.02.2022 Arema Malang Arema Malang 0-1 HT 0-0 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
19.11.2021 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 2-3 HT 1-3 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arema Malang
2-1
AWAY Persik Kediri
47% Ball Possession 53%
21 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arema Malang vs Persik Kediri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arema Malang nicked a narrow win over Persik Kediri 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arema Malang as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arema Malang had 47% of the ball to Persik Kediri's 53%, shots finished 21-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Persik Kediri led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Arema Malang and 1.33 for Persik Kediri.

What was the final score of Arema Malang vs Persik Kediri?

Arema Malang 2-1 Persik Kediri in the Indonesia League 1 on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arema Malang vs Persik Kediri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arema Malang win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Arema Malang 42%, draw 27%, Persik Kediri 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arema Malang) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arema Malang) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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