Arema Malang 0-3 Persik Kediri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.1pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.9pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arema Malang EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Persik Kediri EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
1.79/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.19
+29% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
375 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arema Malang
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Persik Kediri
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 46%
5 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
244 Passes 225
16.12.2024 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 1-0 HT 0-0 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
27.11.2023 Arema Malang Arema Malang 0-1 HT 0-0 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
17.09.2022 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 0-1 HT 0-0 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
27.02.2022 Arema Malang Arema Malang 0-1 HT 0-0 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
19.11.2021 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 2-3 HT 1-3 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arema Malang
0-3
AWAY Persik Kediri
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arema Malang vs Persik Kediri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persik Kediri cruised past Arema Malang 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Arema Malang at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arema Malang had 49% of the ball to Persik Kediri's 51%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Persik Kediri led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Arema Malang and 1.00 for Persik Kediri.

What was the final score of Arema Malang vs Persik Kediri?

Arema Malang 0-3 Persik Kediri in the Indonesia League 1 on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arema Malang vs Persik Kediri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arema Malang win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Arema Malang 43%, draw 31%, Persik Kediri 26%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arema Malang) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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