Persebaya Surabaya vs Semen Padang Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Persebaya Surabaya v Semen Padang — Team-Based Signals
Persebaya Surabaya vs Semen Padang Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Semen Padang
ENDL1
Persebaya Surabaya 1-1 Semen Padang — Actual Match Statistics
Persebaya Surabaya and Semen Padang couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Persebaya Surabaya at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Persebaya Surabaya had 54% of the ball to Semen Padang's 46%, shots finished 12-7.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Persebaya Surabaya and 0.50 for Semen Padang.
What was the final score of Persebaya Surabaya vs Semen Padang?
Persebaya Surabaya 1-1 Semen Padang in the Indonesia League 1 on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Persebaya Surabaya vs Semen Padang?
Before kick-off our model rated a Persebaya Surabaya win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Persebaya Surabaya 56%, draw 26%, Semen Padang 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya), Over 2.5 went the other way.