Naxxar Lions 1-0 Tarxien Rainbows — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 11 Jan 2026

📅11/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
39%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.6pp
22%
Draw
28%
-5.7pp
39%
Away Win
28%
+10.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.3pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Tarxien Rainbows EU Bookmakers 32%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.47/2.00
+44% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +117% / -43%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naxxar Lions
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tarxien Rainbows
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
16.09.2025 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 2-3 HT 1-1 Tarxien Rainbows Tarxien Rainbows MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naxxar Lions
1-0
AWAY Tarxien Rainbows
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Naxxar Lions vs Tarxien Rainbows
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naxxar Lions nicked a narrow win over Tarxien Rainbows 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 22% / 39%) promised a tight game; Naxxar Lions found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Naxxar Lions had 59% of the ball to Tarxien Rainbows's 41%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Naxxar Lions vs Tarxien Rainbows?

Naxxar Lions 1-0 Tarxien Rainbows in the Malta - Premier League on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naxxar Lions vs Tarxien Rainbows?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naxxar Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Naxxar Lions 39%, draw 22%, Tarxien Rainbows 39%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/22/39) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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