Gzira United 0-2 Zabbar St. Patrick — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 11 Jan 2026

📅11/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
48%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.8pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.7pp
48%
Away Win
40%
+8.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gzira United EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick EU Bookmakers 43%
-19% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.80/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.73
-27% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +50%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gzira United
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2025 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 2-0 HT 1-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
11.04.2025 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 1-2 HT 1-2 Gzira United Gzira United MALTP
13.03.2025 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 3-0 HT 1-0 Gzira United Gzira United MALTP
02.11.2024 Gzira United Gzira United 3-1 HT 1-1 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick MLTP
POST-MATCH Gzira United vs Zabbar St. Patrick
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zabbar St. Patrick saw off Gzira United 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zabbar St. Patrick as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Gzira United and 1.75 for Zabbar St. Patrick.

What was the final score of Gzira United vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Gzira United 0-2 Zabbar St. Patrick in the Malta - Premier League on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gzira United vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zabbar St. Patrick win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Gzira United 29%, draw 23%, Zabbar St. Patrick 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zabbar St. Patrick) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zabbar St. Patrick) ✗ BTTS Yes
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