Zabbar St. Patrick 3-0 Gzira United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 13 Mar 2025

📅13/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.7
No
56%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-3.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+1.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
55%
-10.9pp
56%
BTTS No
45%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Gzira United EU Bookmakers 48%
+55% / +55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
278 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Gzira United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Gzira United Gzira United 3-1 HT 1-1 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick
3-0
AWAY Gzira United
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zabbar St. Patrick vs Gzira United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zabbar St. Patrick ran out comfortable winners over Gzira United 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gzira United at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Zabbar St. Patrick had 35% of the ball to Gzira United's 65%, shots finished 11-6.

What was the final score of Zabbar St. Patrick vs Gzira United?

Zabbar St. Patrick 3-0 Gzira United in the MALTP on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Gzira United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gzira United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Zabbar St. Patrick 26%, draw 29%, Gzira United 45%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Gzira United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gzira United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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