Naxxar Lions 1-0 Marsaxlokk FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 13 Mar 2025

📅13/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
40%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.86
Over 2.5
39%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.75
No
62%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
40%
Away Win
46%
-6.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
50%
+11.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
50%
-11.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
53%
-14.7pp
62%
BTTS No
47%
+14.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 50%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-55% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
246 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naxxar Lions
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
15.12.2024 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTP
27.10.2024 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 0-0 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
28.01.2024 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 0-0 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
15.09.2023 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 5-1 HT 2-0 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naxxar Lions
1-0
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Naxxar Lions vs Marsaxlokk FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naxxar Lions squeezed past Marsaxlokk FC 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Naxxar Lions made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Naxxar Lions had 35% of the ball to Marsaxlokk FC's 65%, shots finished 6-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Marsaxlokk FC led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Naxxar Lions and 1.50 for Marsaxlokk FC.

What was the final score of Naxxar Lions vs Marsaxlokk FC?

Naxxar Lions 1-0 Marsaxlokk FC in the MALTP on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naxxar Lions vs Marsaxlokk FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marsaxlokk FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Naxxar Lions 33%, draw 27%, Marsaxlokk FC 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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