Zabbar St. Patrick 1-2 Gzira United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.8
Over 2.5
38%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.75
No
60%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.3pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.3pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
52%
+10.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
48%
-10.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
53%
-13.0pp
60%
BTTS No
47%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Gzira United EU Bookmakers 45%
+57% / +57% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -60% / -60%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -71%
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
268 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Gzira United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.03.2025 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 3-0 HT 1-0 Gzira United Gzira United MALTP
02.11.2024 Gzira United Gzira United 3-1 HT 1-1 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick
1-2
AWAY Gzira United
45% Ball Possession 55%
3 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zabbar St. Patrick vs Gzira United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gzira United edged past Zabbar St. Patrick 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Gzira United made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zabbar St. Patrick had 45% of the ball to Gzira United's 55%, shots finished 3-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Zabbar St. Patrick and 1.50 for Gzira United.

What was the final score of Zabbar St. Patrick vs Gzira United?

Zabbar St. Patrick 1-2 Gzira United in the MALTP on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Gzira United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gzira United win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Zabbar St. Patrick 34%, draw 30%, Gzira United 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gzira United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gzira United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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