Hibernians FC 0-1 Naxxar Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.78
Over 2.5
40%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.85
No
61%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-1.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
50%
-10.7pp
61%
BTTS No
50%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernians FC EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 25%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.68
+41% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -36%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
403 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernians FC
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Naxxar Lions
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2025 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 3-2 HT 3-2 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MALTP
06.03.2025 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTAK
17.08.2024 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 1-2 HT 1-1 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
02.03.2024 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTP
28.10.2023 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 0-0 HT 0-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernians FC
0-1
AWAY Naxxar Lions
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hibernians FC vs Naxxar Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naxxar Lions nicked a narrow win over Hibernians FC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Hibernians FC at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Hibernians FC had 57% of the ball to Naxxar Lions's 43%, shots finished 10-3.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hibernians FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Hibernians FC and 1.00 for Naxxar Lions.

What was the final score of Hibernians FC vs Naxxar Lions?

Hibernians FC 0-1 Naxxar Lions in the MALTP on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernians FC vs Naxxar Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernians FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hibernians FC 50%, draw 27%, Naxxar Lions 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hibernians FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hibernians FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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