Hibernians FC 3-2 Naxxar Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
32%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.82
No
43%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
14%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
60%
-19.9pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.9pp
32%
Away Win
18%
+13.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.8pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernians FC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 21%
-72% / -72% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/1.50
-100% / -78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +90% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernians FC
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Naxxar Lions
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.03.2025 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTAK
17.08.2024 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 1-2 HT 1-1 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
02.03.2024 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTP
28.10.2023 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 0-0 HT 0-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernians FC
3-2
AWAY Naxxar Lions
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hibernians FC vs Naxxar Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernians FC squeezed past Naxxar Lions 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Hibernians FC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Hibernians FC had 44% of the ball to Naxxar Lions's 56%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hibernians FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hibernians FC and 0.75 for Naxxar Lions.

What was the final score of Hibernians FC vs Naxxar Lions?

Hibernians FC 3-2 Naxxar Lions in the MALTP on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernians FC vs Naxxar Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernians FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hibernians FC 40%, draw 28%, Naxxar Lions 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hibernians FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hibernians FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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