Zabbar St. Patrick 2-0 Gzira United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-4.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.4pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.6pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Gzira United EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -11%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Gzira United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.04.2025 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 1-2 HT 1-2 Gzira United Gzira United MALTP
13.03.2025 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 3-0 HT 1-0 Gzira United Gzira United MALTP
02.11.2024 Gzira United Gzira United 3-1 HT 1-1 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick
2-0
AWAY Gzira United
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Zabbar St. Patrick vs Gzira United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zabbar St. Patrick got the better of Gzira United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Zabbar St. Patrick found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zabbar St. Patrick had 40% of the ball to Gzira United's 60%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gzira United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Zabbar St. Patrick and 1.67 for Gzira United.

What was the final score of Zabbar St. Patrick vs Gzira United?

Zabbar St. Patrick 2-0 Gzira United in the Malta - Premier League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Gzira United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zabbar St. Patrick win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Zabbar St. Patrick 38%, draw 30%, Gzira United 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zabbar St. Patrick), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zabbar St. Patrick) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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