Tarxien Rainbows 1-2 Valletta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
56%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.75
Over 2.5
32%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
14%
+4.1pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.6pp
56%
Away Win
64%
-7.8pp
68%
Under 2.5
53%
+15.0pp
32%
Over 2.5
47%
-15.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.8pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tarxien Rainbows EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Valletta EU Bookmakers 69%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.00/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.62/0.63
+46% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -16%
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tarxien Rainbows
1-2
AWAY Valletta
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tarxien Rainbows vs Valletta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valletta squeezed past Tarxien Rainbows 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Valletta as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tarxien Rainbows had 42% of the ball to Valletta's 58%, shots finished 6-12.

What was the final score of Tarxien Rainbows vs Valletta?

Tarxien Rainbows 1-2 Valletta in the Malta - Premier League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tarxien Rainbows vs Valletta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valletta win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Tarxien Rainbows 18%, draw 26%, Valletta 56%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valletta) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valletta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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